Time series prediction based on machine learning: A case study, temperature forecasting in Vietnam

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Authors

  • Ngo Thi Thanh Hoa Hanoi Open University
  • Chu Thi Quyen (Corresponding Author) Hanoi University of Industry
  • Nguyen Thi Cam Ngoan Hanoi Open University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54939/1859-1043.j.mst.85.2023.152-162

Keywords:

Machine learning; Temperature forecast; Deep learning; Time series; SARIMA; XGBoost.

Abstract

In recent years, there has been a surge in interest in the subject of machine learning for prediction. In this study, a temperature dataset of Vietnam’s stations is examined in order to anticipate temperature. Several forecasting models are used to accomplish this goal. First, a traditional time-series forecasting approach such as Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average is used (SARIMA). Then, more complex approaches such as XGBoost, Encoder-Decoder, and Prophet are used. The models' performances are compared using several accuracy assessment methods (e.g., Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE)). The findings demonstrate the superiority of the deep learning approach over the other methods.

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Published

28-02-2023

How to Cite

Ngo Thi Thanh Hoa, Q. Chu Thi, and Nguyen Thi Cam Ngoan. “Time Series Prediction Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study, Temperature Forecasting in Vietnam”. Journal of Military Science and Technology, vol. 85, Feb. 2023, pp. 152-6, doi:10.54939/1859-1043.j.mst.85.2023.152-162.

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